WeatherWatcher: Calm weather, windy weather, then calm weather again

Sunday, January 20, 2019

Super Blood Wolf Moon Sunday night
Photo by Steven H. Robinson

The Forecast: We have a fairly calm day ahead for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures near the mid 40's. A chilly evening is ahead with lows in the upper 30's and some breezy conditions as our next storm arrives.

Tuesday rain is likely with a quarter inch possible, highs near 50°F with breezy south winds. Tuesday evening into Wednesday rain continues and it gets windy with wind gusts from the south up to 40mph. Wednesday the rain is expected to back off a bit with showers or rain at times. Lows Tuesday night around 35-40°F and highs Wednesday in the lower 50's.

Wednesday evening things calm down and the rest of the work week looks dry, mostly sunny or partly cloudy with highs near 50°F and lows into the mid-upper 30's.

Our next chance of rain appears to be next Sunday.

El Niño status: We are currently under an El Niño watch. It hasn't developed yet, but is expected to develop early February and continue into the 2019 spring season. There's only about a 65% chance that an El Niño will develop.

What this means for us? We should probably expect more of the same to continue with our winter weather patterns. I think we're going to see some more breaks from the storms with high pressure ridging over the west coast off and on through late winter and early spring.

We may also be the first snowless winter since the 1991-1992 winter season. There's one small hint of a chance of a cold snap near the beginning of February but it's very marginal, and too early to tell if we'll have any moisture with it.

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